Prediction Market Risk Review
Use this skill before a prediction-market workflow touches user financial
context, venue authentication, portfolio data, automation, or execution-capable
tools.
Review Gates
Advice Boundary
- Confirm the output is informational.
- Remove buy/sell/hold/size recommendations.
- Keep manual user decision points explicit.
Venue And Regulatory Boundary
- Identify venue terms, geography restrictions, account limits, and API rules.
- Flag betting, derivatives, securities, or commodities ambiguity for legal
review when relevant.
- Do not bypass venue restrictions or rate limits.
Data Quality
- Check market liquidity, spread, resolution rules, stale prices, and source
timestamps.
- Separate public venue data from Itô gated data.
- Do not mix public and private sources without labels.
Security
- Do not request or store private keys, seed phrases, or passwords.
- Keep
ITO_API_KEY and venue API keys out of logs and docs.
- Use read-only scopes by default.
- Require circuit breakers, spend limits, dry runs, and human approval before
any private implementation adds execution.
Privacy
- Minimize user portfolio, financial, and knowledge-base data.
- Redact private sources in public artifacts.
- Preserve only the fields needed for the review.
Output Contract
Return:
- scope reviewed
- pass/warn/fail findings
- blocked actions
- required mitigations
- safe next step
If any execution-capable step is requested, require a separate implementation
plan and explicit user approval.
