Option P&L analysis methodology: payoff diagrams, breakeven calculation, multi-leg strategy visualization, and Greeks-based scenario analysis.
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This skill is designed for option strategy analysis scenarios within the Vibe-Trading quantitative framework, covering:
Constraint: For research and backtesting only. Do not output live trading instructions, in line with the project's guardrails.
Load this skill for methodology, then call options_payoff for production
calculations. Pass signed legs (qty > 0 long, qty < 0 short),
entry_spot, and expiry_days; optionally pass actual per-share premiums,
multiplier, commission, chart bounds, and IV scenarios. The tool returns an
expiry curve, a spot × IV scenario matrix, and analytic breakeven/max-risk
results that do not depend on the display grid containing every strike.
| Strategy | Bias | Premium | Max Profit | Max Loss |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Long Call | Bullish | Paid | Unlimited | Premium |
| Long Put | Bearish | Paid | Strike - premium | Premium |
| Short Call | Neutral / mildly bearish | Received | Premium | Unlimited |
| Short Put | Neutral / mildly bullish | Received | Premium | Strike - premium |
| Strategy | Structure | Market View | Net Premium |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bull Call Spread | Long Call (lower K) + Short Call (higher K) | Moderately bullish | Net debit |
| Bear Put Spread | Long Put (higher K) + Short Put (lower K) | Moderately bearish | Net debit |
| Bull Put Spread | Short Put (higher K) + Long Put (lower K) | Moderately bullish | Net credit |
| Bear Call Spread | Short Call (lower K) + Long Call (higher K) | Moderately bearish | Net credit |
| Strategy | Structure | Market View |
|---|---|---|
| Long Straddle | Long Call (ATM) + Long Put (ATM) | Large move up or down, low volatility |
| Short Straddle | Short Call (ATM) + Short Put (ATM) | Range-bound market, high volatility |
| Long Strangle | Long Call (OTM) + Long Put (OTM) | Large move, lower cost than a straddle |
| Short Strangle | Short Call (OTM) + Short Put (OTM) | Tight range, collect two-sided premium |
| Strategy | Structure | Feature |
|---|---|---|
| Long Butterfly (Call) | Long Call (K1) + 2× Short Call (K2) + Long Call (K3) | Low-cost bet that the underlying expires near K2 |
| Long Butterfly (Put) | Long Put (K3) + 2× Short Put (K2) + Long Put (K1) | Same logic, built with puts |
| Iron Butterfly | Short Call (K2) + Short Put (K2) + Long Call (K3) + Long Put (K1) | Net credit, max profit at K2 |
| Strategy | Structure | Feature |
|---|---|---|
| Long Condor (Call) | Long Call (K1) + Short Call (K2) + Short Call (K3) + Long Call (K4) | Bet that the underlying stays between K2 and K3 |
| Iron Condor | Short Put (K2) + Long Put (K1) + Short Call (K3) + Long Call (K4) | Most common neutral strategy with capped risk on both sides |
Here K1 < K2 < K3 < K4, and K2 / K3 are usually OTM.
| Strategy | Structure | Market View |
|---|---|---|
| Calendar Spread | Short near-month Call/Put (K) + Long far-month Call/Put (K) | Short-term range-bound market + rising forward volatility |
| Diagonal Spread | Short near-month Call/Put (K1) + Long far-month Call/Put (K2) | Calendar spread with mild directional bias |
Calendar spreads profit because near-month Theta decay is faster than far-month Theta decay.
| Strategy | Structure | Feature |
|---|---|---|
| Ratio Call Spread | Long 1× Call (K1) + Short N× Call (K2), N>1 | Limited upside profit, losses if the upside move becomes extreme |
| Ratio Put Spread | Long 1× Put (K2) + Short N× Put (K1) | Limited downside profit, losses if the downside move becomes extreme |
| Call Back Spread | Short 1× Call (K1) + Long N× Call (K2), N>1 | Profits from extreme upside, loses on a modest rally |
| Put Back Spread | Short 1× Put (K2) + Long N× Put (K1), N>1 | Profits from extreme downside, loses on a mild decline |
| Strategy | Structure | Use Case |
|---|---|---|
| Covered Call | Long underlying + Short Call (K) | Generate income on an existing position, give up gains above K |
| Protective Put | Long underlying + Long Put (K) | Downside protection on an existing position, pay an insurance premium |
| Collar | Long underlying + Long Put (K1) + Short Call (K2) | Lock the position into a zero-cost / low-cost range |
r is constantσ is constant (historical or implied)qS = current underlying price
K = strike price
T = time to expiration (years)
r = risk-free rate (annualized continuous compounding)
q = continuous dividend yield (commonly used for China A-share / index options)
σ = annualized volatility
N = standard normal CDF
d1 = [ln(S/K) + (r - q + σ²/2) × T] / (σ × √T)
d2 = d1 - σ × √T
Call = S × e^(-qT) × N(d1) - K × e^(-rT) × N(d2)
Put = K × e^(-rT) × N(-d2) - S × e^(-qT) × N(-d1)
Call - Put = S × e^(-qT) - K × e^(-rT)
Use this to verify pricing consistency and detect arbitrage. When dividends exist, replace S with S × e^(-qT).
Delta(Call) = e^(-qT) × N(d1)
Delta(Put) = e^(-qT) × (N(d1) - 1)
Gamma = e^(-qT) × N'(d1) / (S × σ × √T)
N'(x) = (1/√(2π)) × e^(-x²/2) [standard normal PDF]
Theta(Call) = [-S × e^(-qT) × N'(d1) × σ / (2√T)
- r × K × e^(-rT) × N(d2)
+ q × S × e^(-qT) × N(d1)] / 365
Theta(Put) = [-S × e^(-qT) × N'(d1) × σ / (2√T)
+ r × K × e^(-rT) × N(-d2)
- q × S × e^(-qT) × N(-d1)] / 365
Vega = S × e^(-qT) × N'(d1) × √T / 100
Rho(Call) = K × T × e^(-rT) × N(d2) / 100
Rho(Put) = -K × T × e^(-rT) × N(-d2) / 100
Given a market price P_market, solve for σ such that BS(σ) = P_market:
Iteration:
σ_{n+1} = σ_n - [BS(σ_n) - P_market] / Vega(σ_n)
Stopping condition: |BS(σ_n) - P_market| < 1e-6
Initial guess:
σ_0 = √(2π/T) × P_market/S (Brenner-Subrahmanyam approximation)
Notes:
- If Vega is close to 0 (deep OTM / ITM), switch to bisection
- If the iteration does not converge (>100 rounds), return NaN and raise a warning
- IV > 500% is usually an outlier and should be filtered
This is already implemented, guards included, as
src.quantlib.options.implied_volatility — see section 4.1. The formulas above
document what it computes; they are not an instruction to rewrite it.
Calculation logic:
For each leg i (Call/Put, Long/Short, strike K_i, quantity n_i):
Payoff_i(S_T) = n_i × direction_i × max(0, S_T - K_i) # Call
Payoff_i(S_T) = n_i × direction_i × max(0, K_i - S_T) # Put
Where direction = +1 (Long) / -1 (Short)
Portfolio payoff = Σ Payoff_i - net premium cost
(paid premium is positive, received premium is negative)
X-axis range: [min(K) × 0.7, max(K) × 1.3], step size 0.5 or 1
For each underlying price S, hold T, r, and σ constant and compute current theoretical PnL using the Black-Scholes formula:
TheoValue(S) = Σ n_i × direction_i × BS_price(S, K_i, T, r, σ, type_i) - net premium cost
The gap between the theoretical value curve and the expiry curve equals the remaining time value.
Expiry payoff is piecewise linear. Solve Payoff(S_T) = 0 on intervals formed
by S=0, every unique strike, and the right tail. Do not search only the chart
grid: a narrow grid can miss a valid root beyond its bounds.
Evaluate payoff at S=0 and every unique strike. Those are all finite points
where slope can change, so finite extrema occur in that set. Then inspect the
right-tail slope: positive means unlimited profit, negative means unlimited
loss, and zero means the payoff remains flat. Never derive max profit/loss only
from sampled chart points.
Generate a σ scenario matrix using current IV × [0.5, 0.75, 1.0, 1.25, 1.5].
Plot one theoretical value curve for each σ and distinguish them by color to observe Vega sensitivity.
bs_price, bs_greeks and implied_volatility are implemented once in
src/quantlib/options.py and pinned by tests/quantlib/test_options.py
(published Hull reference values, put-call parity, Greeks against
finite-difference bumps, implied-vol round-trips). Import them.
Do not retype the formulas from section 2 into your own helper. A retyped copy is a different, untested function on every run, and the copies that used to live here had two live defects: they crashed on a non-positive spot or strike, and they reported a zero Delta for an expiring in-the-money option.
from src.quantlib.options import bs_greeks, bs_price, implied_volatility
price = bs_price(S=100, K=100, T=0.25, r=0.03, sigma=0.20, option_type="call", q=0.0)
greeks = bs_greeks(100, 100, 0.25, 0.03, 0.20, "call") # delta gamma theta vega rho
iv = implied_volatility(market_price=5.0, S=100, K=100, T=0.25, r=0.03, option_type="call")
Argument order is (S, K, T, r, sigma, option_type="call", q=0.0) for both
pricing functions; implied_volatility takes market_price first, then
(S, K, T, r, option_type="call", q=0.0, tol=1e-6, max_iter=200).
Contract worth knowing before you use the numbers:
| Point | Behaviour |
|---|---|
| Units | Theta per calendar day; Vega and Rho per 1 percentage point; Delta and Gamma per 1.0 of spot. Nothing is rounded |
option_type | Case-insensitive; anything other than call/put raises ValueError |
| Degenerate input | T <= 0, sigma <= 0, S <= 0 or K <= 0 returns intrinsic value, and Greeks with the correct ±1/0 point-mass Delta — it does not raise |
| IV lower guard | Raises ValueError below the discounted forward intrinsic. Using undiscounted K - S instead would wrongly reject deep ITM European puts, which really do trade below it |
| IV upper guard | Raises ValueError at or above the no-arbitrage ceiling (S·e^(-qT) for a call, K·e^(-rT) for a put) — no volatility reaches it |
| IV failure | Newton seeded by Brenner-Subrahmanyam, falling back to bisection when Vega collapses; returns nan only if neither converges |
from dataclasses import dataclass
from typing import Literal
import numpy as np
from scipy.optimize import brentq
from src.quantlib.options import bs_price
@dataclass
class OptionLeg:
"""Single option leg definition.
Attributes:
option_type: "call" or "put"
K: Strike price
direction: +1 for Long / -1 for Short
quantity: Number of contracts, defaults to 1
premium: Actual traded premium, positive when paid and negative when received
T: Time to expiration in years, used for theoretical Black-Scholes pricing
sigma: Volatility used in pricing
"""
option_type: Literal["call", "put"]
K: float
direction: int # +1 or -1
quantity: float = 1.0
premium: float = 0.0
T: float = 0.25
sigma: float = 0.20
def compute_expiry_payoff(
legs: list[OptionLeg],
S_range: np.ndarray,
) -> np.ndarray:
"""Calculate the expiry payoff curve.
Args:
legs: Option legs
S_range: Array of underlying prices
Returns:
Payoff array aligned with S_range, including premium cost
"""
total_payoff = np.zeros(len(S_range))
net_premium = sum(leg.direction * leg.quantity * leg.premium for leg in legs)
for leg in legs:
if leg.option_type == "call":
intrinsic = np.maximum(S_range - leg.K, 0)
else:
intrinsic = np.maximum(leg.K - S_range, 0)
total_payoff += leg.direction * leg.quantity * intrinsic
return total_payoff - net_premium
def compute_theo_value(
legs: list[OptionLeg],
S_range: np.ndarray,
r: float = 0.03,
q: float = 0.0,
) -> np.ndarray:
"""Calculate the theoretical value curve under current Black-Scholes pricing.
Args:
legs: Option legs, each carrying T and sigma
S_range: Array of underlying prices
r: Risk-free rate
q: Continuous dividend yield
Returns:
Theoretical PnL array
"""
total_value = np.zeros(len(S_range))
net_premium = sum(leg.direction * leg.quantity * leg.premium for leg in legs)
for leg in legs:
prices = np.array([
bs_price(S, leg.K, leg.T, r, leg.sigma, leg.option_type, q)
for S in S_range
])
total_value += leg.direction * leg.quantity * prices
return total_value - net_premium
def find_breakeven_points(
S_range: np.ndarray,
payoff: np.ndarray,
) -> list[float]:
"""Solve for break-even points numerically.
Returns:
A list of break-even points, from 0 to many depending on the structure
"""
beps = []
for i in range(len(S_range) - 1):
if payoff[i] * payoff[i + 1] < 0:
bep = brentq(
lambda s: np.interp(s, S_range, payoff),
S_range[i], S_range[i + 1],
xtol=0.01
)
beps.append(round(bep, 2))
return beps
import matplotlib.pyplot as plt
import matplotlib.ticker as mticker
def plot_payoff_diagram(
legs: list[OptionLeg],
S_current: float,
r: float = 0.03,
q: float = 0.0,
title: str = "Option Payoff Diagram",
figsize: tuple = (10, 6),
) -> plt.Figure:
"""Plot the payoff diagram for an option portfolio.
Args:
legs: Option legs
S_current: Current underlying price
r: Risk-free rate
q: Continuous dividend yield
title: Chart title
figsize: Figure size
Returns:
A matplotlib Figure object
"""
K_values = [leg.K for leg in legs]
S_lo = min(K_values) * 0.70
S_hi = max(K_values) * 1.30
S_range = np.linspace(S_lo, S_hi, 500)
expiry_pnl = compute_expiry_payoff(legs, S_range)
theo_pnl = compute_theo_value(legs, S_range, r, q)
beps = find_breakeven_points(S_range, expiry_pnl)
fig, ax = plt.subplots(figsize=figsize)
# Shade profit and loss regions.
ax.fill_between(S_range, expiry_pnl, 0,
where=(expiry_pnl >= 0), alpha=0.15, color="green", label="_nolegend_")
ax.fill_between(S_range, expiry_pnl, 0,
where=(expiry_pnl < 0), alpha=0.15, color="red", label="_nolegend_")
# Expiry payoff curve.
ax.plot(S_range, expiry_pnl, color="steelblue", linewidth=2.0, label="Expiry P&L")
# Theoretical value curve.
ax.plot(S_range, theo_pnl, color="darkorange", linewidth=1.5,
linestyle="--", label="Current theoretical value")
# Zero axis.
ax.axhline(0, color="black", linewidth=0.8, linestyle="-")
# Current price line.
ax.axvline(S_current, color="gray", linewidth=1.0, linestyle=":",
label=f"Spot {S_current:.2f}")
# Strike annotations.
for K in K_values:
ax.axvline(K, color="purple", linewidth=0.6, linestyle="--", alpha=0.5)
ax.text(K, ax.get_ylim()[0], f"K={K}", fontsize=8,
rotation=90, va="bottom", color="purple")
# Break-even points.
for bep in beps:
ax.scatter([bep], [0], color="red", zorder=5, s=50)
ax.annotate(f"BEP\n{bep:.2f}", xy=(bep, 0),
xytext=(bep, max(expiry_pnl) * 0.15),
fontsize=8, ha="center", color="red",
arrowprops=dict(arrowstyle="->", color="red", lw=0.8))
# Max profit / max loss summary.
max_p = max(expiry_pnl)
max_l = min(expiry_pnl)
stats_text = (
f"Max profit: {'Unlimited' if max_p > 1e6 else f'{max_p:.2f}'}\n"
f"Max loss: {'Unlimited' if max_l < -1e6 else f'{max_l:.2f}'}\n"
f"Break-even: {', '.join([str(b) for b in beps]) if beps else 'None'}"
)
ax.text(0.02, 0.97, stats_text, transform=ax.transAxes,
fontsize=9, va="top", bbox=dict(boxstyle="round", fc="white", alpha=0.8))
ax.set_xlabel("Underlying price")
ax.set_ylabel("P&L")
ax.set_title(title)
ax.legend(loc="upper right")
ax.yaxis.set_major_formatter(mticker.FuncFormatter(lambda x, _: f"{x:,.0f}"))
ax.grid(True, alpha=0.3)
plt.tight_layout()
return fig
import plotly.graph_objects as go
def plot_payoff_plotly(
legs: list[OptionLeg],
S_current: float,
r: float = 0.03,
q: float = 0.0,
title: str = "Option Payoff Diagram",
sigma_scenarios: list[float] | None = None,
) -> go.Figure:
"""Generate a Plotly interactive payoff diagram with optional multi-sigma scenarios.
Args:
sigma_scenarios: For example [0.10, 0.15, 0.20, 0.25, 0.30].
If None, use each leg's own sigma.
"""
K_values = [leg.K for leg in legs]
S_range = np.linspace(min(K_values) * 0.70, max(K_values) * 1.30, 500)
expiry_pnl = compute_expiry_payoff(legs, S_range)
fig = go.Figure()
# Expiry payoff.
fig.add_trace(go.Scatter(
x=S_range, y=expiry_pnl,
name="Expiry P&L", line=dict(color="steelblue", width=2),
fill="tozeroy",
fillcolor="rgba(70,130,180,0.1)",
))
# Theoretical value under multiple volatility scenarios.
if sigma_scenarios:
colors = ["#FF6B6B", "#FFA500", "#4CAF50", "#2196F3", "#9C27B0"]
for i, sigma in enumerate(sigma_scenarios):
scenario_legs = [
OptionLeg(
option_type=leg.option_type, K=leg.K,
direction=leg.direction, quantity=leg.quantity,
premium=leg.premium, T=leg.T, sigma=sigma
)
for leg in legs
]
theo = compute_theo_value(scenario_legs, S_range, r, q)
fig.add_trace(go.Scatter(
x=S_range, y=theo,
name=f"IV={sigma*100:.0f}%",
line=dict(color=colors[i % len(colors)], width=1.5, dash="dash"),
))
else:
theo_pnl = compute_theo_value(legs, S_range, r, q)
fig.add_trace(go.Scatter(
x=S_range, y=theo_pnl,
name="Current theoretical value",
line=dict(color="darkorange", width=1.5, dash="dash"),
))
# Zero line and current price line.
fig.add_hline(y=0, line_dash="solid", line_color="black", line_width=0.8)
fig.add_vline(x=S_current, line_dash="dot", line_color="gray",
annotation_text=f"Spot {S_current:.2f}", annotation_position="top right")
# Strikes.
for K in set(K_values):
fig.add_vline(x=K, line_dash="dash", line_color="purple",
line_width=0.8, opacity=0.5)
fig.update_layout(
title=title,
xaxis_title="Underlying price",
yaxis_title="P&L",
hovermode="x unified",
template="plotly_white",
legend=dict(orientation="h", yanchor="bottom", y=1.02, xanchor="right", x=1),
)
return fig
from src.quantlib.options import bs_greeks
def plot_greeks_profile(
legs: list[OptionLeg],
S_current: float,
r: float = 0.03,
q: float = 0.0,
greeks_to_plot: list[str] | None = None,
) -> go.Figure:
"""Plot portfolio Greeks as functions of the underlying price.
Args:
greeks_to_plot: Defaults to ["delta", "gamma", "vega", "theta"]
"""
if greeks_to_plot is None:
greeks_to_plot = ["delta", "gamma", "vega", "theta"]
K_values = [leg.K for leg in legs]
S_range = np.linspace(min(K_values) * 0.70, max(K_values) * 1.30, 300)
# Compute portfolio Greeks.
greek_values = {g: np.zeros(len(S_range)) for g in greeks_to_plot}
for leg in legs:
for j, S in enumerate(S_range):
g = bs_greeks(S, leg.K, leg.T, r, leg.sigma, leg.option_type, q)
for name in greeks_to_plot:
greek_values[name][j] += leg.direction * leg.quantity * g[name]
# Plot subplots.
from plotly.subplots import make_subplots
n = len(greeks_to_plot)
fig = make_subplots(rows=n, cols=1, shared_xaxes=True,
subplot_titles=[g.capitalize() for g in greeks_to_plot])
greek_colors = {"delta": "steelblue", "gamma": "green",
"theta": "red", "vega": "darkorange", "rho": "purple"}
for i, name in enumerate(greeks_to_plot, start=1):
fig.add_trace(
go.Scatter(x=S_range, y=greek_values[name],
name=name.capitalize(),
line=dict(color=greek_colors.get(name, "gray"), width=2)),
row=i, col=1
)
fig.add_hline(y=0, line_dash="dot", line_color="black",
line_width=0.5, row=i, col=1)
fig.add_vline(x=S_current, line_dash="dash", line_color="gray",
line_width=0.8, row=i, col=1)
fig.update_layout(
title="Greeks Profile",
height=200 * n,
showlegend=False,
template="plotly_white",
)
return fig
Market view
├── Strongly bullish
│ ├── Willing to pay premium → Long Call
│ └── Want lower cost → Bull Call Spread
├── Moderately bullish
│ ├── Already hold the underlying → Covered Call (income enhancement)
│ └── No existing position → Bull Put Spread (net credit)
├── Moderately bearish
│ ├── Already hold the underlying → Protective Put or Collar
│ └── No existing position → Bear Call Spread (net credit)
├── Strongly bearish
│ ├── Willing to pay premium → Long Put
│ └── Want lower cost → Bear Put Spread
├── Range-bound market (low-IV environment)
│ ├── Wide range → Short Strangle
│ ├── Narrow range → Short Straddle
│ └── Want limited risk → Iron Condor / Iron Butterfly
└── Large move expected (low-IV environment)
├── Direction unclear → Long Straddle / Long Strangle
└── Slight directional bias → Call / Put Back Spread
| IV Regime | Rule of Thumb | Suitable Strategies | Strategies to Avoid |
|---|---|---|---|
| Low IV (< 20th percentile) | IV Rank < 20 | Long Straddle, Long Strangle, Back Spread | Short strategies, because premium is too thin |
| Normal IV (20th to 80th percentile) | IV Rank 20 to 80 | Vertical spreads, Calendar Spread, Diagonal | Single-leg positions with asymmetric risk |
| High IV (> 80th percentile) | IV Rank > 80 | Short Straddle, Iron Condor, Covered Call | Long single-leg options due to rich premium |
IV Rank formula:
iv_rank = (current_iv - iv_52w_low) / (iv_52w_high - iv_52w_low) * 100
IV Percentile: The historical percentile rank of current IV over the last 252 trading days.
Iron Condor gets breached:
Underlying rallies above the short call:
1. Close the call spread and realize the loss
2. Reassess directional view:
- Still bullish → reopen a higher put spread to preserve neutrality
- Not bullish → close the entire portfolio
Covered Call faces assignment risk:
Underlying approaches the call strike:
1. Assess whether you are willing to sell the underlying at that price
- Yes → allow assignment and keep premium + capital gain
- No → Roll Up & Out to a higher strike and/or later expiration
from src.quantlib.options import implied_volatility
# Example: Iron Condor payoff diagram
legs = [
OptionLeg("put", K=90, direction=-1, premium=1.5, T=0.083, sigma=0.20),
OptionLeg("put", K=85, direction=+1, premium=0.5, T=0.083, sigma=0.20),
OptionLeg("call", K=110, direction=-1, premium=1.5, T=0.083, sigma=0.20),
OptionLeg("call", K=115, direction=+1, premium=0.5, T=0.083, sigma=0.20),
]
fig = plot_payoff_plotly(
legs, S_current=100.0,
title="Iron Condor (85/90/110/115, 1 month)",
sigma_scenarios=[0.15, 0.20, 0.25, 0.30],
)
fig.show()
# Implied volatility example
iv = implied_volatility(
market_price=5.0, S=100, K=100,
T=0.25, r=0.03, option_type="call"
)
print(f"Implied volatility: {iv:.2%}") # 23.25%